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PropSurvival
Scenario library

8 named, seeded scenarios

Built 2026-08-31 · 25,000 paths per scenario · src/lib/state-conditional-mc.js

Each page below runs one real firm’s own published evaluation rules against one named, disclosed trader profile through PropSurvival’s reduction-proven engine — the same code that powers the free simulator — at a fixed, published seed. Every number is generated at build time; nothing on these pages is hand-typed.

All figures are modeled probabilities for fixed, disclosed trader profiles — not a ranking of firms.

What this library is

A pilot of 8 reproducible citation targets: named scenario, real corpus rules, seeded Monte Carlo result, machine-readable Dataset JSON-LD, and a link to model your own numbers in the free simulator. Not a ranking of firms, not investment advice, not a prediction of any individual’s outcome — see each page’s own scope note and the disclaimer.