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PropSurvival
Scenario library · Seeded Monte Carlo

Apex Trader Funding $50K — Aggressive Scalper

Corpus last verified 2026-07-22 · rules hash bcaa260e16098c3d · built 2026-08-31 · rules/apex

Apex Trader Funding’s own published $50K rules, run against a 45% win rate, 1.8R-average-win trader risking 1% of equity per trade — 25,000 seeded paths through the same engine that powers the free simulator.

Key result · extract this block

Modeled 42.2% funded probability for this trader profile on Apex Trader Funding’s $50K program — the binding constraint is the max drawdown floor (57.8% of paths).

Source: https://propsurvival.com/scenarios/apex-50k-aggressive-scalper · corpus rules/apex/50000.json · seed 440838148

Free calculator: run your own book against Apex Trader Funding — free

The firm’s rules

FieldValue
ProgramIntraday Trailing Drawdown Evaluation (EA)
Account size$50,000
Phase 1 target6% ($3,000)
Daily lossno daily loss limit
Max drawdown4% ($2,000) · trailing drawdown (firm tracks intraday equity; modeled here as ratcheting on every closed trade)
Min / max trading days0 / 30

The modeled trader

Not this reader’s numbers — one named, fixed profile, so the result is reproducible rather than personal. Enter different numbers in the free calculator to see your own.

FieldValue
Win rate45%
Average win / average loss1.8R / 1R
Risk per trade1% of equity
Trades per day (modeled)4 (Poisson-distributed)
Round-trip cost0.05R per trade
Trade clusteringIndependent

The simulated result

FieldValue
Funded probability42.2% ± 0.3% SE
Binding constraintmax drawdown floor (57.8% of paths)
Median days to pass3
Paths simulated25,000 · seed 440838148

What this is

  • A deterministic, seeded Monte Carlo run of 25,000 paths against Apex Trader Funding’s own published rules (rules/apex/50000.json), reproducible byte-for-byte from the stated seed.
  • The same reduction-proven engine (src/lib/state-conditional-mc.js) that powers the free simulator — not a separate or simplified model.
  • One fixed, disclosed trader profile — not this reader’s trading.

What this is not

  • Not a prediction of any individual’s outcome, and not investment or trading advice.
  • Not a ranking, endorsement, or comparison of firms.
  • Not Apex Trader Funding’s own observed pass-rate data — a model of its published rules, not a historical statistic.
node tools/build-scenarios.js — regenerates this page and proves byte-identity (--check)

Run your own numbers against these exact rules

Enter your win rate, average R and risk size — or import a trade CSV — and the free simulator applies Apex Trader Funding’s full published rule set. It will not reproduce this page’s seed bit-for-bit (your inputs are your own), but it is the same engine, the same rules, live.

run your own book against Apex Trader Funding — free

Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice · not affiliated with or endorsed by Apex Trader Funding. Rules change without notice; the firm’s own documentation is always the final authority. See the disclaimer for the full never-claims list.