FTMO $100K evaluation: the rules, what binds first, and the modeled pass odds
FTMO's own published $100K rules, run against 3 disclosed trader profiles through the same engine that powers the free calculator, 25,000 seeded runs each.
For the Steady Scaler profile (a 50% win rate, 1.5R-average-win trader risking 1% of equity per trade), the modeled funded probability on FTMO's $100K program is 71.9% ± 0.3% (SE — the statistical margin from running 25,000 simulated attempts), most often stopped by the daily loss limit rather than the other rules modeled here.
- Why it matters
- Because the daily loss limit is what most often ends a modeled run on this program, pacing risk within a single day — smaller size per trade, spreading entries across more days — does more for pass odds here than one large push toward the target. On this $100,000 account the floor is fixed at $90,000 (a $10,000 cushion) for the life of the account.
- Evidence
- 16 rule field(s) sourced directly from FTMO’s own documentation (see Sources below).
- Calculation / result
- The same simulator that powers the free calculator, run 25,000 seeded runs against FTMO's own rules, so FTMO’s result reproduces exactly.
- Limitation
- Modeled for one disclosed trader profile on FTMO’s own published rules, not a prediction of any individual's outcome; not a ranking or comparison of firms.
- Retrieved / verified
- Retrieved 2026-07-22. Our 2026-10-15 check could not find the exact wording we originally cited on the firm’s page — the rule may not have changed, but we haven’t re-confirmed it. Treat these numbers as read once, not double-checked, and confirm on the firm’s own page before you buy.
Terms used on this page
- Static drawdown — The floor is fixed the day you start and never moves, even after you’re up money — the most forgiving of the three mechanics.
- Daily loss — A separate, smaller loss cap measured from that trading day’s starting balance; breaching it usually pauses trading for the day rather than failing the evaluation.
- Consistency rule — A pass condition capping how much of your total profit one single day may provide (commonly 30–50%) — one outsized day can block a pass even at the target.
- R multiple — Profit or loss on a trade as a multiple of what you risked — risking $500 and profiting $750 is a +1.5R trade.
- Pass probability — The share of simulated attempts, out of thousands run under one firm’s exact published rules, that clear every rule inside the time window.
- Binding rule — Whichever rule — drawdown, daily loss, or time — ends the most simulated attempts for a given trading style; the constraint to manage first.
Current rule snapshot
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Program | FTMO Challenge (2-Step) |
| Account size | $100,000 |
| Phase 1 target | 10% ($10,000) — source · retrieved 2026-10-04 |
| Phase 2 target | 5% ($5,000) |
| Daily loss | 5% ($5,000) — source · retrieved 2026-10-04 |
| Max drawdown | 10% ($10,000) — source · retrieved 2026-10-04 |
| Drawdown mode | static (fixed floor) — source · retrieved 2026-07-16 |
| Consistency rule | none recorded |
| Min / max trading days | Min 4 — source · retrieved 2026-10-04 · Max no maximum published (60-day window assumed for the simulation) (phase 1) |
| Phase 2 min / max days | Min 4 · Max no maximum published (60-day window assumed for the simulation) |
| Payout timing | 14 days to first payout |
Run it
Reproduce this page's own numbers
The free calculator opens prefilled with FTMO's $100K rules and the Steady Scaler profile above (a 50% win rate, 1.5R-average-win trader risking 1% of equity per trade (that’s $1,000 per trade on this $100,000 account)) — change any dial to see your own numbers, and every figure on this page reproduces exactly from this page's data (JSON) or our methodology.
run your own book against FTMO — freeWhat the rules mean
FTMO models a static drawdown floor at 10% of the account. A 5% daily loss limit applies. Funding requires clearing both Phase 1 and Phase 2 — the composed probability multiplies the two independent pass probabilities.
- Firms with a static (non-trailing) drawdown floor
- Static drawdown — glossary
- Daily loss limit — glossary
- Phase 2 — glossary
- Evaluation — glossary
- Funded account — glossary
Ambiguities we found
Corpus note: “Flagged 2026-07-22 (run 2), never modeled until now. FTMO publishes ONE rule for both products ("recalculated daily at 00:00 CE(S)T"), but this corpus held two different UTC values (ftmo=23:00, ftmo-1step=22:00) for the identical source sentence - the CET(winter,UTC+1)/CEST(summer,UTC+2) DST split, not two different firm rules. Unified both products to the same ambiguities[] set, matching the convention Topsteps own reset time utc ambiguity already uses for the identical CDT/CST issue. Conservative = 23:00 (CET reading), matching both the already-recorded corpus value and Topsteps precedent.”
Conservative reading used on this page: 23:00 UTC. If this affects your plan, ask FTMO’s support directly which reading applies to your account before you buy — this page assumes the more conservative reading stated above.
Scenarios
Three named, disclosed trader profiles — not this reader's numbers — so the result is reproducible rather than personal.
| Trader profile | Funded probability | Binding constraint | Median days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady Scaler a 50% win rate, 1.5R-average-win trader risking 1% of equity per trade (that’s $1,000 per trade on this $100,000 account) | 71.9% ± 0.3% | daily loss limit (14.2%) | 9 | run this profile |
| Aggressive Scalper a 45% win rate, 1.8R-average-win trader risking 1% of equity per trade (that’s $1,000 per trade on this $100,000 account) | 63.8% ± 0.3% | daily loss limit (18.8%) | 8 | run this profile |
| Balance Rider a 42% win rate, 2.0R-average-win trader risking 0.75% of equity per trade (that’s $750 per trade on this $100,000 account) | 83.7% ± 0.2% | max drawdown floor (4.9%) | 11 | run this profile |
Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice · not affiliated with or endorsed by FTMO
Binding rule
Across the 3 modeled trader profiles, the binding constraint is usually the daily loss limit, but not for every profile — for the Steady Scaler profile it accounts for 14.2% of simulated runs in Phase 1. The daily loss limit eliminates more runs than the overall drawdown floor or the time window. In practice: keeping single-day losses well under the $5,000 daily limit — smaller size per trade, spread across the day — clears this program more often in the simulation than one large push toward the $10,000 target.
Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice · not affiliated with or endorsed by FTMO
Compare
Other account sizes of this program
- $50K — payout rules
- $200K — payout rules
Other programs from FTMO
Other static-floor programs
- The5ers $100K — same drawdown mechanic
Research
- Methodology — how PropSurvival models a challenge
- Static vs trailing drawdown: how the floor mechanic changes pass probability
Rule history
Independent rechecks:
- 2026-07-22 — two independent blind read-throughs (confirmed, with a wording mismatch noted)
- 2026-07-31 — modeled from a prior run’s finding (confirmed, with a reader disagreement noted)
- 2026-09-06 — official page fetch quote substring (the rule changed since the prior check)
- 2026-09-13 — first party single pass (documented-absent)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
- 2026-10-04 — normal corpus review current first party (confirmed unchanged)
Sources
- ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-10-04 — "of your Initial Simulated Capital: 10% for the FTMO Challenge 5% for the Verification"
- ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-07-16 — "no time limit ... Trading Period is unlimited"
- academy.ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-10-04 — "$204,000 – $10,000 = $194,000"
- academy.ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-07-16 — "equity also includes floating profits and losses"
- academy.ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-10-04 — "the equity on your trading account must not drop below 90% of the initial account balance at any given time"
- ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-09-06 — "14th or any following day after the first placed trade"
- ftmo.com — source page · retrieved 2026-10-04 — "FTMO Challenge: 2-Step : You receive 80% of the profit (increases to 90% if Scaling Plan or Premium Programme conditions are"
Full verification record for this firm
Next action
Run your own numbers against these exact rules
Enter your win rate, average R and risk size and the free simulator applies FTMO's full published rule set — same engine, same rules, live. See full pricing for the written report at /pricing.
run your own book against FTMO — freeFrequently asked
- Does the FTMO program have a daily loss limit?
- Yes — 5% of the account.
- How does the max drawdown floor move?
- It does not move — this is a static floor set at account start, 10% of the starting balance. See static drawdown for the full definition.
- How many trading days does this program require?
- A minimum of 4 trading days — no maximum is published in the corpus; this page assumes a 60-day window for the simulation.
- Is there a consistency rule?
- No — this program does not model a best-day consistency cap.
- When is the first payout available?
- 14 days after funding, per the corpus record.
- What does the FTMO evaluation cost?
- No evaluation fee amount is recorded in the corpus for this program. The fee is refunded at first payout, per the corpus. This is from the corpus snapshot retrieved 2026-07-22; no separate source is recorded for pricing — confirm the current price on FTMO’s own pricing page before you buy.
- Has this rule set changed recently?
- Our 2026-10-15 check could not find the exact wording we originally cited on the firm’s page — the rule may not have changed, but we haven’t re-confirmed it. Treat these numbers as read once, not double-checked, and confirm on the firm’s own page before you buy.
How this page was generated
Rule values on this page come from PropSurvival’s maintained rule corpus for FTMO $100K (retrieved 2026-07-22. Our 2026-10-15 check could not find the exact wording we originally cited on the firm’s page — the rule may not have changed, but we haven’t re-confirmed it. Treat these numbers as read once, not double-checked, and confirm on the firm’s own page before you buy.), and the pass odds are computed by the same simulator that powers the free tool — 25,000 seeded runs per trader profile, regenerated whenever the corpus changes, so the numbers can be reproduced exactly.
Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice · not affiliated with or endorsed by FTMO. Rules change without notice; the firm’s own documentation is always the final authority. See the disclaimer for the full never-claims list.