Personal Case File
Your rules · 2026-10-13
Where you stand, against your own rules
Reading · from disclosed state $50,800 · day 8
P1
Constraint status
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
79.9% of simulated paths reaches your stated goal without breaking a rule you set — at or above your threshold of 50.0%.
Set the share you’d accept. This is a comparison against a line you choose, not our opinion — move the line and it changes.
Mechanical arithmetic from your disclosed inputs and self-attested rules — not advice.
P2
Survival tonight
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
Tomorrow's largest survivable losing day is $2,032 — your daily loss limit binds before the drawdown floor.
P3
Killed by
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
At your current risk (1.80%), the first rule to break is your max drawdown, in >99.9% of 1,004 paths of failing paths.
P4
The sweep study
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
Inspect computed sizes under your own rules. The selected point does not change your policy or prescribe a risk size.
The share of paths that respect every rule you set peaks at 100.0% (±0.0%) when risk per trade is 0.10% of balance.
| Risk | Share intact | SE | Daily stop | Max drawdown | Timeout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.10% | 100.0% | ±0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 0.20% | 100.0% | ±0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 0.30% | 100.0% | ±0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 0.40% | 99.8% | ±0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 0.50% | 98.9% | ±0.2% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 0.60% | 98.3% | ±0.2% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| 0.70% | 96.9% | ±0.3% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 0.80% | 95.6% | ±0.4% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 0.90% | 94.0% | ±0.4% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.00% | 92.9% | ±0.5% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 1.10% | 90.4% | ±0.5% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 1.20% | 88.3% | ±0.6% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 1.30% | 86.0% | ±0.6% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.40% | 85.0% | ±0.7% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.50% | 83.4% | ±0.7% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| 1.60% | 82.1% | ±0.7% | 0.0% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| 1.70% | 80.3% | ±0.7% | 0.0% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 1.80% | 80.2% | ±0.7% | 0.0% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| 1.90% | 77.2% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| 2.00% | 78.4% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| 2.10% | 78.4% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| 2.20% | 72.6% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| 2.30% | 72.2% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| 2.40% | 72.2% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| 2.50% | 72.6% | ±0.8% | 0.0% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
The ceiling crossing for your max drawdown’s share is bracketed between 1.00% and 1.20% risk per trade at this sweep depth: 1.00% is the last confidently at-or-under level and 1.20% is the first confidently over 10.0%.
P5
Capital at horizon
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
Simulated ending equity: 5th percentile $46,771, median $54,414, 95th percentile $59,034.
P6
Attested rules ledger
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
Every rule above is read from the values you entered and attested to yourself. PropSurvival verifies nothing about a personal rule set the way it verifies a firm's published terms.
The simulation above assumes each simulated trading day is drawn independently from the distribution your own recent daily results, or your own stated mean and spread, describe. A real trading record may not hold that shape.
P7
What moves it
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
your max drawdown (+1 percentage point) moves the share respecting every rule from 79.9% to 83.9% (+4.0%). your horizon (+10 trading days) moves the share respecting every rule from 79.9% to 80.7% (+0.7%). your daily stop (+1 percentage point) moves the share respecting every rule from 79.9% to 80.5% (+0.6%).
P8
Provenance
Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.
Seed 1 · 5,000 paths · SE ±0.6% · generated 2026-10-13 · Your rules, your data — nothing here is verified against a firm's rule corpus.
Personal Case File · $49 · one-time · yours to keep · issued 2026-10-13Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · simulation is not a prediction of future results.
Dated improvement check
No dated improvement check is attached to this saved reading and Account. Check the current imported book from its original Account.