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PropSurvival

Sample · $249 Funded File

A full Funded File. Illustrative account, real engine.

This is a complete Funded File — every section, unedited — built by the real engine that builds every customer’s file. Nothing here is hand-typed: the numbers below are the actual output of running this product’s Monte Carlo engine on the disclosed starting configuration listed below, the same default configuration the app itself opens with before anyone touches a slider. Shown on Topstep rather than Apex: this tier is mostly about payout gates and the consistency rule, and Topstep is the firm in our corpus with both wired — the sample is picked for what it can show, not for a flattering number.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

PropSurvival is independent analytical software and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Topstep. "Topstep" is used here only to identify the rule set this sample is built against.

Firm: Topstep · Trading Combine · Built 2026-08-06 · Disclosed starting configuration — the app’s own defaults, unedited:

Starting balance$100,000
Profit target6%
Total drawdown limit3%
Daily drawdown limit2%
Minimum trading days (evaluation)2
Risk per trade0.75%
Trades per day3
Win rate55%
Avg win / avg loss1.8R / 1R
Cost per trade0.05R

Funded File

Topstep · Trading Combine · 2026-08-06

Your payout position

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F1

Payout eligibility

$2,000

largest survivable losing day, tomorrow — daily loss limit binds before the drawdown floor

Tomorrow's largest survivable losing day is $2,000 — your daily loss limit binds before the drawdown floor.

The binding gate is min days. 5 required — 0 recorded.

min days5 required — 0 recorded
consistencylargest day is — of profit (limit 50.0%)

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F2

Consistency shaping

This figure needs a trading day with recorded profit — the consistency shape cannot be simulated before any day has a result to cap future days against. It is not shown until that input is present.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F3

Payout window

This figure needs the firm's payout cycle length — a countdown to a date computed from a cycle nobody published is not a countdown. It is not shown until that input is present.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F4

Multi-account

Add each funded account (firm + current state) to see them side by side.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F5

Payout horizon

5 trading days34.3% ± 1.2%
10 trading days71.6% ± 1.2%
20 trading days83.3% ± 1.0%

P(payout request possible within 5 trading days) = 34.3% ± 1.2% (simulated median 1 trading days from today). P(payout request possible within 10 trading days) = 71.6% ± 1.2% (simulated median 1 trading days from today). P(payout request possible within 20 trading days) = 83.3% ± 1.0% (simulated median 1 trading days from today).

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

F6

Corpus evidence

2 of 4 payout facts in this file are read from Topstep · Trading Combine's own documentation, last verified 2026-07-31.

Underlying challenge assessment

Challenge Case File

Topstep · Trading Combine · 2026-08-06

Where you stand

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

01

Verdict

P(funded)82.0%±0.5%

P(funded) is 82.0% — at or above your threshold of 20.0%.

Set the P(funded) you’d accept. The verdict is a comparison, not our opinion — move the line and it changes.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

02

Killed by

Of the paths that did not reach the target, the largest share — >99% of 0.18 paths — ended by total drawdown.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

03

Failure decomposition

total drawdown>99% of 0.18 paths

Deaths by cause, summing to 100%.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

04

The sweep study

P(funded) peaks at 99.8% (±0.1%) when risk per trade is 0.20% of balance.

RiskP(funded)SEDaily DDTotal DDConsistencyTimeout
0.10%92.8%±0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%7.2%
0.20%99.8%±0.1%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%
0.30%98.7%±0.2%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%
0.40%96.2%±0.4%0.0%3.8%0.0%0.0%
0.50%92.5%±0.5%0.0%7.5%0.0%0.0%
0.60%88.5%±0.6%0.0%11.5%0.0%0.0%
0.70%85.0%±0.7%0.0%15.0%0.0%0.0%
0.80%80.8%±0.7%0.0%19.2%0.0%0.0%
0.90%78.1%±0.8%0.0%21.9%0.0%0.0%
1.00%72.3%±0.8%0.0%27.7%0.0%0.0%
1.10%72.2%±0.8%0.0%27.8%0.0%0.0%
1.20%71.1%±0.8%0.0%28.9%0.0%0.0%
1.30%68.7%±0.8%0.0%31.3%0.0%0.0%
1.40%67.4%±0.9%0.0%32.6%0.0%0.0%
1.50%58.0%±0.9%0.0%42.0%0.0%0.0%
1.60%58.0%±0.9%0.0%42.0%0.0%0.0%
1.70%56.7%±0.9%0.0%43.3%0.0%0.0%
1.80%58.7%±0.9%0.0%41.3%0.0%0.0%
1.90%58.7%±0.9%0.0%41.3%0.0%0.0%
2.00%60.2%±0.9%0.0%39.8%0.0%0.0%
2.10%57.2%±0.9%0.0%42.8%0.0%0.0%
2.20%56.9%±0.9%0.0%43.1%0.0%0.0%
2.30%56.8%±0.9%0.0%43.2%0.0%0.0%
2.40%56.9%±0.9%0.0%43.1%0.0%0.0%
2.50%56.7%±0.9%0.0%43.3%0.0%0.0%
  • total drawdown overtakes running out of days as the larger share of breaches somewhere between 0.20% and 0.30% risk per trade.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Study

Firm Selection Study

Ranked by modeled first-year fee-ROI wherever this firm’s evaluation fee and retry price are both verified; the remaining firms rank by P(pass) alone.

FirmP(pass)AttemptsFee spendModeled ROI
City Traders Imperium>99.9%1.0——
FTMO>99.9%1.0——
Instant Funding>99.9%1.0——
The5ers>99.9%1.0——
Blueberry Funded99.9%1.0——
Fintokei99.9%1.0——
FundingPips99.9%1.0——
FTMO99.7%1.0——
Funded Trading Plus99.7%1.0——
FXIFY99.6%1.0——
OFP Funding99.3%1.0——
Goat Funded Trader98.9%1.0——
Lux Trading Firm98.8%1.0——
FundingPips97.7%1.0——
Funded Trading Plus96.6%1.0——
E8 Markets95.3%1.0——
SabioTrade92.8%1.1——
MyFundedFutures90.4%1.1——
Maven Trading90.0%1.1——
Alpha Futures86.9%1.2——
OneUp Trader84.4%1.2——
Aqua Futures84.1%1.2——
Blue Guardian Futures84.1%1.2——
Tradeify84.1%1.2——
Take Profit Trader81.9%1.2——
Topstep81.4%1.2——
The Trading Pit81.2%1.2——
Alpha Futures81.1%1.2——
Bulenox81.1%1.2——
FundedNext Futures81.1%1.2——
Alpha Futures80.5%1.2——
FundedNext Futures78.4%1.3——
FundedNext Futures78.4%1.3——
FundedNext Futures78.3%1.3——
TradeDay76.9%1.3——
Apex Trader Funding76.5%1.3——
Phidias76.0%1.3——
Earn2Trade70.3%1.4——
Apex Trader Funding66.8%1.5——
Elite Trader Funding63.0%1.6——
Phidias61.1%1.6——
UProfit Trader50.1%2.0——
Leeloo Trading46.8%2.1——

Section 7 compares resetting this account against continuing it at the same firm; this table compares switching to a different firm’s evaluation instead.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

05

Expected attempts

Reaching a funded pass takes 1.2 attempts on average, counting this account and any resets.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

06

Expected cost

This figure needs this firm’s reset fee — we do not carry a verified fee for this firm at this account size. It is not shown until that input is present.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

07

Reset vs continue

Needs input

This figure needs this firm’s reset fee — both branches are priced in reset fees, so with no fee there is no comparison to make. It is not shown until that input is present.

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

08

Provenance

Corpus 2026-07-31 · rule source: read from Topstep · Trading Combine’s documentation · seed 1 · 5,000 paths · SE ±0.5%Funded File · $249 · per year · issued 2026-08-06

This sample was generated by the same code that builds every customer’s Funded File — rebuilt automatically whenever that code changes, so it can never drift stale against what a real purchase would produce. See pricing for the real tiers, or run your own free verdict first.

This sample is a worked example on disclosed hypothetical inputs — not a prediction, not a guarantee, and not an average across customers. See the Risk Disclaimer.