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SAMPLE · Challenge Case File · $99 · $99/year · illustrative example · disclosed mid-state

Challenge Case File — Topstep

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

PropSurvival is independent analytical software and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Topstep. "Topstep" is used here only to identify the rule set this sample is built against.

Disclosed illustrative inputs

CASE FILE

Topstep · Trading Combine · issued 2026-10-13 · corpus 2026-09-27 · seed 1 · file ref CCF-1

Where you stand

Reading · from disclosed state $50,750 · day 18

Bind · total drawdownEquity · $50,750Locked floor · $50,000Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice

01

Verdict

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

P(funded)57.7%±0.7%

P(funded) is 57.7% — at or above your threshold of 20.0%.

Set the P(funded) you’d accept. The verdict is a comparison, not our opinion — move the line and it changes.

Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice

Get your own Challenge Case File — $99 · $99/yearRun the free reading with your numbers →

02

Killed by

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Of the paths that did not reach the target, the largest share — >99.9% of 2,113 paths — ended by total drawdown.

03

Failure decomposition

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

total drawdown>99.9% of 2,113 paths

Deaths by cause, summing to 100%.

04

The sweep study

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

RISK STUDYInspect the computed curve
Risk per trade0.20%
Modeled chance of passing96.4%
100%50%0%0.10%2.50%

Inspect computed sizes from this account. The selected point does not change your account or prescribe a risk size.

P(funded) peaks at 96.4% (±0.3%) when risk per trade is 0.20% of balance.

RiskP(funded)SEDaily DDTotal DDConsistencyTimeout
0.10%96.0%±0.4%0.0%0.1%0.0%3.9%
0.20%96.4%±0.3%0.0%3.5%0.0%0.1%
0.30%90.2%±0.5%0.0%9.8%0.0%0.0%
0.40%84.2%±0.7%0.0%15.8%0.0%0.0%
0.50%77.1%±0.8%0.0%22.9%0.0%0.0%
0.60%71.8%±0.8%0.0%28.2%0.0%0.0%
0.70%67.7%±0.9%0.0%32.3%0.0%0.0%
0.80%61.9%±0.9%0.0%38.1%0.0%0.0%
0.90%61.2%±0.9%0.0%38.8%0.0%0.0%
1.00%58.4%±0.9%0.0%41.6%0.0%0.0%
1.10%58.3%±0.9%0.0%41.7%0.0%0.0%
1.20%57.5%±0.9%0.0%42.5%0.0%0.0%
1.30%54.0%±0.9%0.0%46.0%0.0%0.0%
1.40%53.8%±0.9%0.0%46.2%0.0%0.0%
1.50%38.6%±0.9%0.0%61.4%0.0%0.0%
1.60%38.7%±0.9%0.0%61.3%0.0%0.0%
1.70%37.3%±0.9%0.0%62.7%0.0%0.0%
1.80%39.3%±0.9%0.0%60.6%0.0%0.0%
1.90%38.8%±0.9%0.0%61.2%0.0%0.0%
2.00%38.6%±0.9%0.0%61.4%0.0%0.0%
2.10%37.8%±0.9%0.0%62.2%0.0%0.0%
2.20%37.6%±0.9%0.0%62.4%0.0%0.0%
2.30%37.3%±0.9%0.0%62.7%0.0%0.0%
2.40%37.3%±0.9%0.0%62.7%0.1%0.0%
2.50%34.4%±0.9%0.0%65.5%0.1%0.0%
  • total drawdown overtakes running out of days as the larger share of breaches somewhere between 0.10% and 0.20% risk per trade.

05

Expected attempts

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Reaching a funded pass takes 1.6 attempts on average, counting this account and any resets.

06

Expected cost

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Limitation

This figure needs this firm’s reset fee — we do not carry a verified fee for this firm at this account size. It is not shown until that input is present.

07

Reset vs continue

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Limitation

This figure needs this firm’s reset fee — both branches are priced in reset fees, so with no fee there is no comparison to make. It is not shown until that input is present.

08

Provenance

Worked example — real engine output on the disclosed inputs below. Not a prediction for your account, and not an average across customers: change the inputs and every number below changes with them.

Corpus 2026-09-27 · rule source: read from Topstep · Trading Combine’s documentation · seed 1 · 5,000 paths · SE ±0.7%Challenge Case File · $99 · per year · issued 2026-10-13

Simulated result from user-supplied inputs · not investment advice Simulation is not a prediction of future results.

How this sample was made

Disclosed account state — the illustrative account this report was built from. Every figure follows from these inputs and Topstep’s own published rules:

Current balance · closed trades$51,500
Current equity · incl. open position$50,750
Total result on the account$1,500
Largest single-day result$950
Days elapsed18
Trading days used8
High-water mark$52,000
PhasePhase 1 (evaluation)

This is a complete Challenge Case File — every section, unedited — built by the real engine that builds every customer’s file. The account is an illustrative disclosed mid-state; its balance, equity, high-water mark, days used, total profit and best day are listed above. Every document number is generated by the real engine from that state and the disclosed configuration below. Shown against the recorded Topstep rules. A section that needs a reset price not established by the source record asks for that price; it does not invent a monetary comparison.

Firm: Topstep · Trading Combine · Data as of 2026-10-13 · Disclosed starting configuration:

Starting balance$50,000
Profit target6%
Total drawdown limit4%
Daily drawdown limit2%
Minimum trading days (evaluation)2
Risk per trade1%
Trades per day5
Win rate54%
Avg win / avg loss1.6R / 1R
Cost per trade0.05R

This sample was generated by the same code that builds every customer’s Case File — rebuilt automatically whenever that code changes, so it can never drift stale against what a real purchase would produce. See pricing for the real tiers, or run your own free verdict first.

This sample is a worked example on disclosed hypothetical inputs — not a prediction, not a guarantee, and not an average across customers. See the Risk Disclaimer.