PropSurvival
PropSurvival · the compiled document

The report is not an export.

If the screen commands a price and the report is a screenshot of it, the system has failed. This is a bound document — plated cover, running heads, folios, and a provenance seal carrying the seed it was computed from. Nothing on it is estimated: a value the model does not have is stated as absent, never filled in.

Specimen · no run loaded
Run your analysis — free
Specimen · example data · not a result about your account
PropSurvival Compiled 2026·07·20 Confidential · local-only
The Finding
Apex Trader
Funding
$150,000 evaluation · intraday trailing regime · compiled from 214 recorded trades
61%
Probability of funding · ± 1.4 · 5,000 paths · seed 4417
No-Go
Binding
constraint
Trailing drawdown $2,100 of room
Rules read —
Firm rules Apex Trader Funding
Engine PropSurvival Engine v1.2 · build v8.1
Reproducible
Seed 4417
Specimen · example data · not a result about your account
PropSurvival · The Finding Apex Trader Funding · $150,000
00

Contents

01Verdict02
02Why — the binding constraint02
03Evidence — the band against the floor03
04Simulation — provenance03
05Sensitivity — where risk stops paying04
06Continue or reset, priced04
07Confidence04
08Assumptions and their load
Methodology & disclosures05
01

Verdict

At 1.20% risk per trade, this account funds in 61 of every 100 simulated attempts — below the 70% threshold you set. The trailing drawdown ends 24 of the 39 that fail.

The standard error at 5,000 paths is ± 1.4 points, which does not reach the threshold; the verdict word is stable at this depth. Re-running at 25,000 paths narrows the interval but does not change the finding.

02

Why

Trailing drawdown
24.1%
Daily loss limit
9.6%
Consistency rule
4.0%
Time expiry
1.3%

Causes are categorical. Wine marks the rule that binds — the one you would have to move first — and carries no judgement of the outcome.

Finding · clauses 01–0202
Specimen · example data · not a result about your account
PropSurvival · The Finding Apex Trader Funding · $150,000
03

Evidence

The band does not clear the floor. The 5th-percentile edge meets it on day 47.
Does the band clear the floor?
Trailing floor
Day 0Day 30Day 60Day 90

Graphite bands are the 5th–95th and 25th–75th percentile ranges across 5,000 paths. The floor rises with the high-water mark — the mechanism that closes the gap even in profitable paths.

04

Simulation

EnginePropSurvival Engine v1.2 · build v8.1
Paths5,000
Seed4417
Rules read
Firm recordapex/intraday-trailing
Trades used214
Compiled2026·07·20 22:41Z

Same seed, same document. Every value on this page is reproducible from the block at left; a verdict that cannot be reproduced is an opinion, and this document does not trade in those.

Finding · clauses 03–0403
Specimen · example data · not a result about your account
PropSurvival · The Finding Apex Trader Funding · $150,000
05

Sensitivity

Risk stops paying at 0.90%. Past 1.32% the daily loss limit takes over as the binding constraint.
LeverNowBest Δ P(funded)
Risk per trade1.20%0.90%+11.4
Trades per day32+3.1
Win rate47.0%not a lever

Two of your six numbers move the verdict. The other four are recorded because they are true, not because they are useful.

06

Continue or reset

CourseCostP(funded)Expected
Clause withheld · Challenge Case File

This clause prices your ACTUAL account state — the balance you hold, the days left, the fee you would pay again. The Finding models a fresh account and has no state to price, so the marks above are placeholders: nothing was computed here to reveal.

07

Confidence

MeasureValueEffect on the word
Standard error · 5,000 paths± 1.4stable
Seed stability · 5 seeds60.2 – 62.1no change
Most load-bearing assumptionWin rate 47.0%± 3pt → ± 9.8

The verdict does not turn on simulation depth. It does turn on your win rate, measured from 214 trades — the one number in this document worth arguing with.

Finding · clauses 05–0704
Specimen · example data · not a result about your account
PropSurvival · The Finding Apex Trader Funding · $150,000

Methodology

Every figure in this document is computed by the PropSurvival engine from the firm's published rule corpus and the parameters recorded on the run. The verdict is the share of Monte Carlo paths that clear the firm's gates at the stated risk; the binding constraint is the rule that ends the most failing paths. Percentile bands are read across the full path set, not fitted to a curve. Nothing here is estimated — a value the model does not compute is stated as absent, never filled in.

ModelMonte Carlo · path-level rule check
Reproducibleseed + engine version
Rule sourcefirm documents
Data leaves devicenever

Disclosures

Confidential · local-only. This document is compiled in your browser from your own parameters and never leaves your device. It is a risk simulation of published evaluation rules — not investment advice, not a prediction of market outcomes, and not a ranking of firms. PropSurvival is not affiliated with any prop firm. The seed and engine version printed on the cover re-create every figure in this document exactly.

Finding · methodology & disclosures05

What the document carries

Every tier issues the same bound document. What changes is the QUESTION it answers — and therefore which clauses can be issued at all. A clause the model cannot compute at your tier is withheld as a masked plate; it is never filled with an estimate.

Clauses 01–05, 07
The Finding

Will a fresh account survive this firm, at this risk?

  • Verdict, binding constraint, decomposition
  • Provenance: paths, seed, rule regime
  • The survival band, single lever
01–05, 07 + your live state
Situation Report

Something went wrong — where do I actually stand?

  • Your gate, your floor, your headroom
  • Room left before the account ends
  • Stamped and exportable
Clauses 01–08 · every clause
Challenge Case File

Can I still pass — and should I reset or continue?

  • 06 · Continue or reset, priced
  • 07 · Standard error, seed stability
  • 08 · Assumptions and their load
01–08 + payout gates
Funded File

Am I eligible for a payout — and how do I shape it?

  • Which gate is holding the payout
  • The consistency countdown
  • Every account at once

The tiers are listed here because they define what each clause IS — not to sell you anything from this page. Prices live in exactly one public place, so that they can never drift into disagreement: the pricing page, which is also where each tier is bought and where its full sample document can be read first.